Nets vs. Bucks odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, May 4 predictions from model on 97-62 roll


The Brooklyn Nets visit the Milwaukee Bucks in a rematch on Tuesday evening. Milwaukee (40-24) toppled Brooklyn by a 117-114 margin on Sunday, with Giannis Antetokounmpo scoring 49 points to lead the Bucks to the win. The Bucks and Nets (43-22) are also jockeying for position at the top of the Eastern Conference standings, placing extra emphasis on this matchup. James Harden (hamstring) is out for the Nets, and Jeff Teague (abdominal) is out for the Bucks.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. William Hill Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a two-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 241.5 in the latest Nets vs. Bucks odds. Before making any Bucks vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 20 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Bucks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Bucks vs. Nets:

Nets vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -2Nets vs. Bucks over-under: 241.5 pointsBKN: The Nets are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 gamesMIL: The Bucks are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Brooklyn Nets

Why the Nets can cover

Brooklyn’s offense is virtually unstoppable. The Nets lead the NBA in offensive rating, scoring more than 1.17 points per possession, and they are also No. 1 in the league in field goal shooting at 49.2 percent. Brooklyn is a top-five team both inside the arc (56.5 percent) and outside the arc (38.8 percent), with top-10 marks in free throw creation (22.5 attempts per game) and free throw accuracy (81.0 percent). They also move the ball well, producing 26.7 assists per game, and they turn the ball over on only 13.5 percent of offensive possessions. 

Milwaukee is just 23rd in the NBA in defensive turnover creation, further strengthening Brooklyn’s ball security projection in this matchup. Defensively, the Nets aren’t elite, but they are above-average in shooting efficiency allowed, assists allowed (24.3 per game) and free throw rate allowed for the season. Milwaukee is a bottom-five team at getting to the line, and the Nets will happily turn the game into a shooting competition with the most talented offensive roster in the NBA.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee is an excellent offensive team, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession this season. The Bucks are No. 2 in the NBA in 3-point shooting, converting 39.2 percent of their long-range attempts, and Milwaukee is also a top-five group in field goal percentage (48.6 percent). Brooklyn struggles defensively, ranking just 25th in overall defensive rating, and that forecasts a positive matchup for Milwaukee. Finally, the Nets rarely create turnovers, ranking 28th in the NBA in havoc rate, and the Bucks can play freely and aggressively as a result. 

On the other end, the Nets are unquestionably dynamic, but the Bucks are tremendous defensively. Milwaukee leads the NBA in free throw prevention, allowing only 18.4 attempts per game, and the Bucks are a top-three team in field goal percentage allowed (45.3 percent) and 2-point shooting allowed (50.8 percent). Mike Budenholzer’s team is a top-five defensive rebounding team, securing 75.4 percent of rebounds after forcing a missed shot, and the Nets land well below the league’s average in both offensive and defensive rebound rate.

How to make Bucks vs. Nets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 241 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bucks vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.



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