The Milwaukee Bucks host the Brooklyn Nets for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals on Thursday evening in the 2021 NBA Playoffs. Milwaukee trails 2-0 in the series with a clear sense of urgency as it returns home. Brooklyn won by 39 points in Game 2, blitzing the Bucks on both ends of the floor. James Harden (hamstring) and Jeff Green (foot) are out of action for the Nets, with Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) ruled out for the Bucks.
Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. William Hill Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 3.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 234 in the latest Nets vs. Bucks odds. Before making any Bucks vs. Nets picks see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $900 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the conference semifinals of the 2021 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on the Nets vs. Bucks in the 2021 NBA Playoff bracket. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Bucks vs. Nets:
Nets vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -3.5Nets vs. Bucks over-under: 234 pointsNets vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -160, Nets +140Brooklyn: The Nets are 9-1 against the spread in the last 10 games Milwaukee: The Bucks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Featured Game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Brooklyn Nets
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn leads the NBA Playoffs 2021 in point differential, out-scoring opponents by 15.4 points per 100 possessions. Much of that stems from having the best offense in the NBA, but the Nets are also playing well on the defensive end. Through two games, Brooklyn is holding Milwaukee to just 0.97 points per possession, and the Bucks have only a 48.9 percent true shooting mark that would rank near the bottom of the league. The Nets are forcing a turnover on more than 15 percent of defensive possessions through two games, and Milwaukee is assisting on fewer than 43 percent of their field goals. That reflects Brooklyn’s ball pressure and strong scheme.
Even if the Nets cool off on the defensive end, they can lean on Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving to spur a tremendous offense. The Nets are scoring 125.8 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, leading the league in true shooting percentage and generating more than 2.2 assists for every turnover they commit. Beyond that, the Nets made 21 3-pointers in Game 2 and, aside from Durant and Irving, they have plenty of shooting, headlined by a 51 percent 3-point mark from Joe Harris in the playoffs.
Why the Bucks can cover
The first two games of the series were a house of horrors for the Bucks. Still, Milwaukee is clearly better than what it showed in those matchups, and the Bucks return home for a fresh start. Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of the NBA’s best players, averaging 28.1 points, 11.1 rebounds and 5.9 assists with high-end defense this season, and the Bucks also have star-caliber players in Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday.
Milwaukee was a top-five offensive team in the NBA this season, scoring 116.5 points per 100 possessions, and Brooklyn can be vulnerable on the defensive side. The Bucks aren’t likely to stop the Nets in full given Brooklyn’s offensive weapons, but Milwaukee was a top-10 defensive team in the regular season, giving the Bucks optimism. From there, the Bucks swarmed to a league-leading defensive performance against Miami in the first round, and they have been better at home on the whole this season.
How to make Nets vs. Bucks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 235 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Nets vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.